Objective: The contribution of executive cognition (EC) to the prediction of incident dementia remains unclear. This prospective study examined the predictive value of EC for subsequent cognitive decline in persons with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) over a 4-year period. Method: One hundred forty-one persons with MCI (amnestic and nonamnestic, single- and multiple-domain) received a baseline and two biennial follow-up assessments. Eighteen tests, assessing six different aspects of EC, were administered at baseline and at 2-year follow-up, together with screening cognitive and daily functioning measures. Longitudinal logistic regression models and generalized estimating equations (GEE) were used to examine whether EC could predict progression to a Clinical Dementia Rating Scale (CDR; C. P. Hughes, L. Berg, W. L. Danziger, L. A. Coben, & R. L. Martin, 1982, A new clinical scale for the staging of dementia, British Journal of Psychiatry, Vol. 140, pp. 566–572) score of 1 or more over the 4-year period, first at the univariate level and then in the context of demographic and clinical characteristics, daily functioning measures, and other neurocognitive factors. Results: Over the 4-year period, 56% of MCI patients remained stable, 35% progressed to CDR ≥1, and 8% reverted to normal (CDR = 0). Amnestic MCI subtypes were not associated with higher rates of progression to dementia, whereas subtypes with multiple impairments were so associated. Eight out of the 18 EC measures, including all three measures assessing inhibition of prepotent responses, predicted MCI outcome at the univariate level. However, the multivariate GEE model indicated that age, daily functioning, and overall cognitive functioning best predicted progression to dementia. Conclusion: Measures of EC (i.e., inhibitory control) are associated with MCI outcome. However, age and global measures of cognitive and functional impairment are better predictors of incident dementia. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2013 APA, all rights reserved)
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